Alec Deckers vs Connor Thomson Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Is one player's second serve more effective? Yes, Deckers has the edge, winning 45.94% of points compared to Thomson's 44.36% over the last six months.
• How do their return games stack up? Thomson excels slightly, winning 45.56% of second serve return points, while Deckers captures 42.58%.
• On first serve returns, Thomson again leads with a 25.85% success rate versus Deckers' 22.37%.
• Under pressure, who holds up better? Deckers has saved 57.39% of breakpoints recently, a bit stronger than Thomson's 53.01%.
• In overall match performance in the past year, Deckers is ahead with a win rate of 66.67%, whereas Thomson has a 53.85% win rate.
• What surfaces do they perform best on? Deckers shines on indoor hard courts (75% win rate), while Thomson performs best on grass (60% win rate).
• Both players predominantly participate in Futures/Satellites/ITF events, with Deckers holding a slight edge at tournament level performance.
• Who faces tougher competition? Thomson has battled players with an average rank of 319.08, compared to Deckers' average opponent rank of 361.47.
• In deciding sets, both players have identical records, winning 50% of these tight matches.
• Considering breakpoint conversion, Deckers is more successful with a 29.79% conversion rate against Thomson's 23.21%.

Editorial Prediction (September 18, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze both contenders, Deckers shows a slight edge in several key areas. Notably, his second serve performance and ability to save breakpoints under pressure stand out, which are crucial elements in tight matches.

Thomson, while showing superiority in return games and playing against slightly tougher opponents, has a weaker breakpoint conversion rate and overall win percentage this past year.

Given Deckers' overall stronger match performance and surface specialty on indoor hard courts, where this match is predicted to be played, he holds a favorable position.

Consequently, based on current playing trends and statistics, Deckers is the likely winner of this upcoming match.